Posted: September 16th, 2017
Global scenarios for the year 2020 .
Global scenarios for the year 2020 .
1. Business as Usual assumes that the global dynamics of change continue without great surprises or much change in energy sources and consumption patterns other than those that might be expected as a result of the change dynamics and trends already in place.
2. Environmental Backlash assumes that the international environmental movement becomes much more organized; some groups lobby for legal actions and new regulations and sue for action in the courts, while others become violent and attack fossil energy industries.
3. Political Turmoil assumes increasing conflicts and wars, with several countries collapsing into failed states, leading to increasing migrations and political instabilities around the world.
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